Tag Archives: estimation

NEW estimating and forecasting workshop

As regulars will know, we have been discussing estimating and forecasting quite a lot over the last few years. There are some marvellous books out there but one thing we found absent was a straightforward, practical review of the various techniques used for estimation and forecasting. So, we decided to build a hands-on, exercise-based workshop.… Read More »

How long? An introduction to estimation

Location: London, United Kingdom Price: free Trainers: David Lowe & James Wyllie This session is being hosted by BT as part of their Agile Workshops series. This session will cover the following topics: The difference between estimation and forecasting; Why we estimate; Expert guesses; How calibration can improve estimates; Relative sizing (including Planning Poker) For further… Read More »

Independent feedback

I’m always on the lookout for ways of getting better engagement, from planning sessions to retrospectives, project kick-offs to project wrap-ups, workshops to meetups. How can you get independent thoughts that aren’t influenced by that loud/experienced/dominating participant? One tool that I experienced recently (which was being used to get feedback at the end of a… Read More »

Our summer experiment

If you’re a regular to scrumandkanban.co.uk, you’ll know that James and I have been talking about estimation and forecasting quite a bit. We’ve also run a few experiments on the topic. Two books in particular have raised interesting ideas. Firstly, Surowiecki’s The Wisdom of Crowds talked about how crowds can beat individual ‘experts’ (given the correct… Read More »

Estimation meets Cynefin

Question: Which provides a better estimate: Planning Poker or an ‘expert’? Many teams would answer that question by saying Planning Poker is always better than an expert’s estimates. We’ve been told it’s the case so many times, that few question it. Truth is, an expert estimate is sometimes more appropriate than an estimate created using Planning Poker. Sometimes… Read More »

Guesstimate

In my summary of Monte Carlo Simulators (May 2015), I said that they were good because they grant the use of ranges and allow you to see how changing the inputs affects the project; but the biggest problem was that they can take quite a bit of time to set up. Well, Guesstimate has changed this: you can now… Read More »